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Carolina Hurricanes v Ottawa Senators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 57.18%1.75fair odd
EV -0.515%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.697%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.38%57.14%57.32%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.661.671.7465.36%60.36%60.06%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ottawa Senators (Visit)
Prediction 42.82%2.34fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.808%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%42.86%42.68%44.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.212.202.3848.31%45.16%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 57.18%; Ottawa Senators (Visit): 42.82%. For Ottawa Senators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.92%E +0.808%K +1.39%G +0.027% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.92%E +0.808%K +1.39%G +0.027% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.50%E -0.653%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.09%E -5.72%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.50%E -0.653%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 22:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.23%E -3.80%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.09%E -5.72%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.80%E -1.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.36%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.52%E -5.32%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.09%E -0.628%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -7.07%E -3.26%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -7.50%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.80%E -1.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.50%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.35%E -3.90%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.07%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.07%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.52%E -8.18%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | -0.0% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.69% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:12 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.53% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.93% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.57% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13% | 16.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |