L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Ottawa Senators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 19:20 UTC

Score final : Carolina Hurricanes 2–0 Ottawa Senators

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 57.18%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.515%
Avantage -0.296%
Kelly -0.697%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.38%57.14%57.32%60.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.661.671.7465.36%60.36%60.06%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ottawa Senators (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.82%2.34cote équitable
EV +1.92%
Avantage +0.808%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.59%42.86%42.68%44.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.212.202.3848.31%45.16%45.45%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

20 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.92%E +0.808%K +1.39%G +0.027%4.1%2026-04-18 19:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.92%E +0.808%K +1.39%G +0.027%6.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.50%E -0.653%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-18 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.09%E -5.72%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.50%E -0.653%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:15
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 18:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 22:49
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:49
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.23%E -3.80%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 19:15
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 19:14
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 19:15
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.09%E -5.72%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 19:15
ReBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.80%E -1.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 18:50
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.36%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 18:49
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-18 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-18 19:10
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 18:05
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:29
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 22:45
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 19:15
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.52%E -5.32%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 19:10
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.09%E -0.628%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -7.07%E -3.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 18:45
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -7.50%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 19:10
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.80%E -1.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.50%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 19:15
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.35%E -3.90%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 19:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.07%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.07%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.52%E -8.18%K -23.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-04-18 18:59
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-18 19:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-04-18 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-18 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-18 19:15
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-04-18 19:15
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%8.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%9.4%2026-04-18 19:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (20)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-04-18 18:55
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.7%2026-04-18 18:49
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-04-18 19:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%5.9%2026-04-18 19:15
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%6.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-04-18 19:15
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%7.2%2026-04-18 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%7.4%2026-04-18 19:15
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%8.0%2026-04-18 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%8.0%2026-04-18 19:12
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-04-18 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%10.1%2026-04-18 19:15
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%10.4%2026-04-18 19:15
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.53%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%11.4%2026-04-18 19:15
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 46.93%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%11.6%2026-04-18 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.57%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%16.8%2026-04-18 19:15