La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38
20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.92%E +0.808%K +1.39%G +0.027% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 19:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV +1.92%E +0.808%K +1.39%G +0.027% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.50%E -0.653%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -9.09%E -5.72%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.50%E -0.653%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.09%E -3.07%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 22:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.23%E -3.80%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 19:14 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.09%E -5.72%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| ReBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -2.80%E -1.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.36%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:29 |
| Betsson | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.66%E -3.43%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.38%E -4.55%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.52%E -5.32%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.79%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.09%E -0.628%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -7.07%E -3.26%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 18:45 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -0.515%E -0.296%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -7.50%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -2.80%E -1.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -7.50%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.93%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -3.95%E -2.35%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -8.35%E -3.90%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.37%E -2.00%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.07%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.52%E -2.71%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.07%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.52%E -8.18%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 18:10 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | -0.0% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.69% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.71% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 19:12 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.53% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.93% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.57% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13% | 16.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |