Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes v Montréal Canadiens

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 00:20 UTC

Final: Carolina Hurricanes 2–6 Montréal Canadiens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 65.27%1.53fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.19%65.33%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.471.481.5073.53%67.86%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montréal Canadiens (Visit)

Prediction 34.73%2.88fair odd
EV -0.331%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.177%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.81%34.67%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.712.712.8740.49%36.96%36.97%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 65.27%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 34.73%. For Montréal Canadiens (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.87, with an expected value of -0.331%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -7.28%E -2.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:28
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.44%E -4.49%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 00:03
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.331%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.678%E -0.237%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.41%E -0.859%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.41%E -0.859%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.54%E -2.04%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 00:10
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.32%E -3.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.32%E -3.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.89%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 00:09
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.44%E -4.49%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.03%E -0.360%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.03%E -0.360%K -0.554%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 23:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.49%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.51%EV -14.22%E -5.76%K -9.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-21 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-05-21 23:50
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-21 23:50
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-21 23:10
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.43%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.57%0.8%2026-05-21 23:59
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-05-22 00:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%4.6%2026-05-21 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.99%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.01%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00%4.7%2026-05-21 23:58
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.35%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.02%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.63%4.7%2026-05-21 23:59
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-05-22 00:10
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%5.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%6.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-05-21 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%7.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%8.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.60%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%8.0%2026-05-22 00:09
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%8.1%2026-05-22 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%12.3%2026-05-22 00:10