La escuela de los momios

Carolina Hurricanes v Montréal Canadiens

Inicio: 2026-05-22 00:20 UTC

Final: Carolina Hurricanes 2–6 Montréal Canadiens

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Predicción 65.27%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -4.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.96%65.19%65.33%66.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.471.481.5073.53%67.86%67.57%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Montréal Canadiens (Visitante)

Predicción 34.73%2.88momio equitativo
EV -0.331%
Ventaja -0.115%
Kelly -0.177%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%34.81%34.67%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.472.712.712.8740.49%36.96%36.97%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -7.28%E -2.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 23:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:28
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.44%E -4.49%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 00:03
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.331%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.678%E -0.237%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 00:04
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.41%E -0.859%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.41%E -0.859%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 00:10
Paddy Power1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.54%E -2.04%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 00:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 00:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.32%E -3.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 00:10
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.32%E -3.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 23:50
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 00:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.89%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 00:10
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 00:09
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 00:09
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.44%E -4.49%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.03%E -0.360%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.03%E -0.360%K -0.554%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 23:49
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.49%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.51%EV -14.22%E -5.76%K -9.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-21 23:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-05-21 23:50
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-21 23:50
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-21 23:10
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.43%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.57%0.8%2026-05-21 23:59
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-05-22 00:10

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%4.6%2026-05-21 22:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.99%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.01%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00%4.7%2026-05-21 23:58
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.35%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.02%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.63%4.7%2026-05-21 23:59
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-05-22 00:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%5.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%6.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-05-21 23:59
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%7.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%8.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.60%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%8.0%2026-05-22 00:09
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%8.1%2026-05-22 00:10
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%12.3%2026-05-22 00:10