L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Montréal Canadiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 00:20 UTC

Score final : Carolina Hurricanes 2–6 Montréal Canadiens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 65.27%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -4.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%65.19%65.33%66.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.471.481.5073.53%67.86%67.57%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.73%2.88cote équitable
EV -0.331%
Avantage -0.115%
Kelly -0.177%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.41%34.81%34.67%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.472.712.712.8740.49%36.96%36.97%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -7.28%E -2.73%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 23:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:28
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.09%E -1.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.44%E -4.49%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -2.74%E -1.84%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 00:03
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.331%E -0.115%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.678%E -0.237%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 00:04
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.41%E -0.859%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.41%E -0.859%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 00:10
Paddy Power1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:10
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.54%E -2.04%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 00:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.23%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 00:10
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.97%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 00:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.32%E -3.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 00:10
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.32%E -3.15%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 23:50
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.40%E -2.30%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.71%E -3.73%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 00:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.05%E -2.76%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.89%E -2.17%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 00:10
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 00:09
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.76%E -0.986%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 00:09
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.36%E -3.69%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.44%E -4.49%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.03%E -0.360%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.66%E -4.66%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.03%E -0.360%K -0.554%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 23:49
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.49%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.51%EV -14.22%E -5.76%K -9.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-21 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%0.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 66.14%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.86%0.1%2026-05-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-05-21 23:50
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-21 23:50
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-05-21 23:10
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 64.43%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.57%0.8%2026-05-21 23:59
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-05-22 00:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-05-22 00:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%3.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%4.6%2026-05-21 22:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.99%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.01%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00%4.7%2026-05-21 23:58
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.35%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.02%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.63%4.7%2026-05-21 23:59
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%4.7%2026-05-22 00:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%5.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%6.2%2026-05-22 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-05-22 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-05-21 23:59
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%7.5%2026-05-22 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%8.0%2026-05-22 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.50%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.60%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%8.0%2026-05-22 00:09
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%8.1%2026-05-22 00:10
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.79%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%12.3%2026-05-22 00:10