Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Flames v Vancouver Canucks

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prediction 59.96%1.67fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%59.94%60.08%60.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6264.52%62.51%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vancouver Canucks (Visit)

Prediction 40.04%2.50fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.772%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%40.06%39.92%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.382.372.4543.48%42.10%42.19%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 59.96%; Vancouver Canucks (Visit): 40.04%. For Vancouver Canucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.89%E -0.772%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-27 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.29%E -0.939%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.29%E -0.939%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:40
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 03:03
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 17:54
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 02:20
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 03:05
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 03:05
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 17:54
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 15:59
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:10
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 03:10
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.89%E -0.772%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 20:30
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.69%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:20
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:09
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 20:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 01:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 23:55
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 20:25
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-28 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-28 03:10
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-28 03:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-03-28 03:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.02%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.45%3.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%3.6%2026-03-28 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-27 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-27 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-28 02:05
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%6.9%2026-03-28 02:25
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-27 19:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-03-28 01:05
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-03-27 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-28 03:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%9.7%2026-03-28 03:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%9.7%2026-03-28 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.08%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%16.7%2026-03-28 03:10