La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.89%E -0.772%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.29%E -0.939%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.29%E -0.939%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 03:03 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 17:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 17:54 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.89%E -0.772%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 20:30 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.69%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 22:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 03:09 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 20:15 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 23:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.02% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.45% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:05 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28% | 6.9% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25% | 7.5% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20% | 9.1% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37% | 9.7% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37% | 9.7% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.08% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85% | 16.7% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |