L’École des cotes

Calgary Flames v Vancouver Canucks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-29 02:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prévision 59.96%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -4.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.97%59.94%60.08%60.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.601.601.6264.52%62.51%62.50%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vancouver Canucks (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.04%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -0.772%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.36%40.06%39.92%41.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.382.372.4543.48%42.10%42.19%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 19:40
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.89%E -0.772%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-27 22:55
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.29%E -0.939%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -2.29%E -0.939%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-27 22:40
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-27 21:10
Paddy Power1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 03:03
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 17:54
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 02:20
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 03:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 03:05
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 19:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 22:35
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 17:54
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.09%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 01:50
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 18:19
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:05
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 15:59
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.30%E -2.69%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:10
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 03:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:50
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.89%E -0.772%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 20:30
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.69%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 22:50
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 17:55
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.89%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 02:20
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:09
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 20:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.69%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-28 00:20
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-28 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 23:55
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-27 20:25
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-28 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-28 03:10
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-28 03:10
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%3.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%3.1%2026-03-28 03:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.02%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.45%3.1%2026-03-28 02:10
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%3.6%2026-03-28 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-27 19:40
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%4.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-27 23:05
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.03%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-03-28 02:05
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%5.1%2026-03-27 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%6.9%2026-03-28 02:25
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-03-27 19:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-03-28 01:05
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%7.9%2026-03-27 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-28 03:10
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%9.7%2026-03-28 03:10
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%9.7%2026-03-28 03:10
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.08%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%16.7%2026-03-28 03:10