Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Calgary Flames v Tampa Bay Lightning
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Calgary Flames (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 39.34%2.54kurs godziwy
EV -1.66%
Przewaga -0.662%
Kelly -1.10%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.97%39.39%39.20%41.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.422.402.5044.44%41.41%41.67%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Goście)
Prognoza 60.66%1.65kurs godziwy
EV +0.093%
Przewaga +0.056%
Kelly +0.142%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.54%60.61%60.80%62.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.431.581.581.6569.93%63.26%63.29%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
22 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV +0.093%E +0.056%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.12%E -0.688%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.12%E -0.688%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 23:30 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.80%E -1.98%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 23:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.05%E -0.823%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 23:00 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| GTbets | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 22:59 |
| ReBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.23%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.77%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 23:00 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 23:00 |
| Caesars | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Bally Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.80%E -1.98%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 18:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 07:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:03 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.66%E -0.662%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.19%E -4.70%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-22 20:33 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 23:50 |
| Novig | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76% | 1.4% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (22)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.49% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| 1xBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.54% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.14% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.30% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 21:09 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.78% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12% | 10.1% | 2026-03-23 00:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46% | 11.3% | 2026-03-22 23:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53% | 13.3% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |