Langue:Français
Calgary Flames v Tampa Bay Lightning
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prévision 39.34%2.54cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.662%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%39.39%39.20%41.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.402.5044.44%41.41%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.66%1.65cote équitable
EV +0.093%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.142%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.54%60.61%60.80%62.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.581.581.6569.93%63.26%63.29%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Calgary Flames (Local) : 39.34% ; Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur) : 60.66%. Pour Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.648. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.650, soit une espérance positive de +0.093%.
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV +0.093%E +0.056%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.12%E -0.688%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.12%E -0.688%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.80%E -1.98%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.05%E -0.823%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.23%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.77%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.80%E -1.98%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 18:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 07:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 00:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.66%E -0.662%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.19%E -4.70%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 00:03 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.82%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-22 20:33 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 23:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76% | 1.4% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.49% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.67% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.54% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.14% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.30% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 09:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.78% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 23:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12% | 10.1% | 2026-03-23 00:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46% | 11.3% | 2026-03-22 23:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53% | 13.3% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |