Calgary Flames v Tampa Bay Lightning

Inizio: 2026-03-23 00:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

39%

61%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Calgary Flames (Casa)

Previsione 39.34%2.54quota equa

EV -1.66%

Vantaggio -0.662%

Kelly -1.10%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

37.97%39.39%39.20%41.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

2.252.422.402.5044.44%41.41%41.67%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tampa Bay Lightning (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.66%1.65quota equa

EV +0.093%

Vantaggio +0.056%

Kelly +0.142%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

58.54%60.61%60.80%62.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.431.581.581.6569.93%63.26%63.29%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Bovada	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV +0.093%E +0.056%K +0.142%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-23 00:05
LowVig.ag	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.12%E -0.688%K -1.78%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-03-23 00:00
BetOnline.ag	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.12%E -0.688%K -1.78%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-03-23 00:00
BetAnything	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-03-22 23:30
Everygame	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-03-22 14:00
BetUS	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.80%E -1.98%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-22 23:29
theScore Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.83%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-23 00:04
Pinnacle	2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.05%E -0.823%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-03-23 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-22 23:00
Coral	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-22 23:00
PlayUp	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.94%E -1.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-23 00:05
GTbets	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-22 14:54
Paddy Power	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-23 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-23 00:04
Fanatics	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-23 00:04
FanDuel	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-23 00:04
BetMGM	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.55%E -2.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-22 22:59
ReBet	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.23%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-22 23:05
Bet Right	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-22 23:05
SportsBet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-23 00:04
MyBookie.ag	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-22 17:15
NordicBet	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.77%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-23 00:05
TAB	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-23 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-22 23:00
Neds	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.63%K -7.16%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-22 23:00
Caesars	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-23 00:05
DraftKings	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-22 08:59
PointsBet (AU)	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-23 00:04
Fliff	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.76%E -3.03%K -8.35%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-23 00:04
BetRivers	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-22 14:55
betPARX	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-22 14:54
Bally Bet	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.44%E -0.985%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-22 14:54
Betsson	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.80%E -1.98%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-22 18:09
Hard Rock Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.37%E -3.44%K -9.58%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-23 00:04
Betr (AU)	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-22 07:44
Bet Victor	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.97%E -3.85%K -10.86%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-23 00:03
William Hill	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.66%E -0.662%K -1.10%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.19%E -4.70%K -13.56%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-23 00:03
NetBet (FR)	2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -13.25%E -9.27%K -30.82%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-03-22 20:33

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Kalshi	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	0.9%	2026-03-23 00:05
Polymarket	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	0.9%	2026-03-23 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	0.9%	2026-03-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	0.9%	2026-03-23 00:05
ProphetX	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%	0.9%	2026-03-23 00:05
Smarkets	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%	1.2%	2026-03-23 00:05
Matchbook	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%	1.2%	2026-03-23 00:05
BetOpenly	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%	1.3%	2026-03-22 23:50
Novig	2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%	1.4%	2026-03-23 00:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

Bookmaker	Opzione 1	Opzione 2	Opzione 3	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)	3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%	3.0%	2026-03-22 14:54
Unibet (SE)	3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%	3.0%	2026-03-22 14:54
ATG (SE)	3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%	3.0%	2026-03-22 21:00
Svenska Spel	3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.29%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%	3.0%	2026-03-22 14:55
Unibet (UK)	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.49%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.67%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.84%	4.3%	2026-03-23 00:04
1xBet	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.33%	2.01I 49.75%NM 47.54%	4.52I 22.12%NM 21.14%	4.7%	2026-03-22 23:59
Marathon Bet	3.26I 30.67%NM 29.30%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.99%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%	4.7%	2026-03-22 23:50
Coolbet	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.89%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%	4.9%	2026-03-22 21:09
Unibet	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.37%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%	5.0%	2026-03-22 14:54
Unibet (NL)	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%	5.3%	2026-03-22 14:55
Grosvenor	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%	5.3%	2026-03-22 14:54
Casumo	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%	5.3%	2026-03-22 14:55
Betway	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%	5.8%	2026-03-23 00:04
TABtouch	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%	6.3%	2026-03-22 14:54
Tipico (DE)	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%	6.7%	2026-03-22 09:59
LeoVegas	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.23%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%	7.6%	2026-03-22 14:54
Winamax (DE)	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%	1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%	8.8%	2026-03-23 00:04
Parions Sport (FR)	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.78%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%	9.0%	2026-03-22 23:50
Codere (IT)	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%	9.3%	2026-03-22 17:09
Betclic (FR)	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.10%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%	10.1%	2026-03-23 00:03
Unibet (FR)	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%	1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%	11.3%	2026-03-22 23:54
Winamax (FR)	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%	1.80I 55.56%NM 49.04%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%	13.3%	2026-03-23 00:04