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Calgary Flames v Seattle Kraken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prediction 50.31%1.99fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%50.32%50.41%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.901.9356.18%52.92%52.63%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Kraken (Visit)
Prediction 49.69%2.01fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.68%49.59%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.911.911.9755.25%52.30%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 50.31%; Seattle Kraken (Visit): 49.69%. For Seattle Kraken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -2.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 01:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 03:47 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 00:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -10.45%E -5.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.58%EV -10.06%E -5.56%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.41% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.18% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:06 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.33% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37% | 11.2% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78% | 12.2% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |