The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Calgary Flames v Seattle Kraken

2026-10-02 01:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.79%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9055.56%53.52%53.48%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Kraken (Visit)

Prediction 48.95%2.04fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.21%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.941.952.0052.63%51.47%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Calgary Flames (Local): 51.05%; Seattle Kraken (Visit): 48.95%. For Seattle Kraken (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -2.09%; they do not produce positive expected value.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 20:35
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 20:35
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 22:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 17:28
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 15:25
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 04:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.85%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.80%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.35%2.9%2026-07-16 12:10
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.88%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.33%4.6%2026-07-16 12:14
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%6.1%2026-07-16 11:34
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-07-16 11:35
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.01%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%12.9%2026-07-18 17:05
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.22%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%13.3%2026-07-16 11:35
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.54%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.67%17.6%2026-07-16 11:34