The School of Odds

Calgary Flames v Seattle Kraken

2026-10-02 02:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

4 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Calgary Flames (Local)

Prediction 39.25%2.55fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.15%39.25%39.25%39.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4047%44%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Kraken (Visit)

Prediction 37.15%2.69fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%37.15%37.15%37.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.402.5544%41%42%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.60%4.24fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%23.60%23.60%23.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.653.863.954.0027%26%25%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -5.80%E -2.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 22:20
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.59%E -2.77%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.27%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -6.78%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.73%E -4.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.84%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-16 01:49
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.28%EV -11.69%E -5.20%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -10.84%E -4.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-16 01:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.30%EV -15.61%E -7.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -16.41%E -7.29%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.15%EV -13.86%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-16 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-07-15 22:20
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-07-15 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%5.3%2026-07-16 02:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-07-16 01:55