Langue:Français
Calgary Flames v Seattle Kraken
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prévision 50.31%1.99cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.48%50.32%50.41%51.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.891.901.9356.18%52.92%52.63%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Seattle Kraken (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.69%2.01cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.93%49.68%49.59%50.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.911.911.9755.25%52.30%52.36%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Calgary Flames (Local) : 50.31% ; Seattle Kraken (Visiteur) : 49.69%. Pour Seattle Kraken (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.01. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.97, pour une espérance de -2.11% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 01:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 03:47 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 00:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -10.45%E -5.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.58%EV -10.06%E -5.56%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.41% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.18% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:06 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.33% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37% | 11.2% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78% | 12.2% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |