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Calgary Flames v Seattle Kraken
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Calgary Flames (Local)
Predicción 50.31%1.99momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.48%50.32%50.41%51.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.891.901.9356.18%52.92%52.63%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Seattle Kraken (Visitante)
Predicción 49.69%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%49.68%49.59%50.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.811.911.911.9755.25%52.30%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Calgary Flames (Local): 50.31%; Seattle Kraken (Visitante): 49.69%. Para Seattle Kraken (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.01. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.97, con un valor esperado de -2.11%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 20:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 01:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 03:47 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 21:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 00:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.50%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.10%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 00:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.59%E -2.94%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -10.45%E -5.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.58%EV -10.06%E -5.56%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.41% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.40% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.09% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.18% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.79% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 22:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.21% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 01:06 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07% | 8.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.33% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37% | 11.2% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78% | 12.2% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |