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Calgary Flames v Los Angeles Kings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prediction 39.27%2.55fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.41%39.05%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5045.45%41.66%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Kings (Visit)
Prediction 60.73%1.65fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.59%60.95%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.591.591.6268.97%63.06%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Calgary Flames (Local): 39.27%; Los Angeles Kings (Visit): 60.73%. For Los Angeles Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.84%E -0.735%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.84%E -0.735%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.23%E -0.896%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.23%E -0.896%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.02%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.02%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 00:23 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 00:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.16%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -7.33%E -3.11%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 00:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.90%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.90%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 22:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.62%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -11.93%E -8.23%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 00:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.44% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.32% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 00:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.48% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 00:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65% | 12.7% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |