La scuola delle quote

Calgary Flames v Los Angeles Kings

Inizio: 2026-04-17 01:00 UTC

Finale: Calgary Flames 3–1 Los Angeles Kings

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Calgary Flames (Casa)

Previsione 39.27%2.55quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -0.735%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.42%39.41%39.05%41.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.402.402.5045.45%41.66%41.67%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Los Angeles Kings (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.73%1.65quota equa
EV -1.61%
Vantaggio -0.994%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.67%60.59%60.95%61.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.591.591.6268.97%63.06%62.89%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.84%E -0.735%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-17 00:49
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.84%E -0.735%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 00:44
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.23%E -0.896%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 00:49
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.23%E -0.896%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 00:49
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Everygame2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.02%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-17 00:54
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.02%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 00:23
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 00:44
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:55
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:44
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:49
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:49
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:50
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 00:49
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 23:49
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 00:30
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 00:29
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 00:04
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 00:04
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 00:55
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 00:45
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 00:34
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.16%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:54
ReBet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -7.33%E -3.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 00:04
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 23:04
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:29
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 00:44
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 00:45
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.90%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:54
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.90%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 00:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 22:34
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 23:05
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 00:50
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.62%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -11.93%E -8.23%K -26.52%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-17 00:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-04-17 00:54
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-04-17 00:54
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%0.8%2026-04-17 00:54
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-17 00:24
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-04-17 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-04-17 00:09
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-04-17 00:19
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-04-17 00:49

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.3%2026-04-17 00:04
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.3%2026-04-17 00:04
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.3%2026-04-17 00:04
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52%3.3%2026-04-17 00:04
Coolbet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.5%2026-04-17 00:49
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-04-17 00:09
1xBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-04-17 00:54
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-04-17 00:04
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%5.8%2026-04-17 00:05
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%5.8%2026-04-17 00:04
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%5.8%2026-04-17 00:04
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-04-17 00:05
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-16 22:49
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%7.9%2026-04-17 00:54
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%7.9%2026-04-17 00:04
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%8.7%2026-04-17 00:05
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-17 00:54
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%9.0%2026-04-17 00:54
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%9.6%2026-04-16 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 30.48%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%10.1%2026-04-17 00:36
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%12.7%2026-04-17 00:04