L’École des cotesFrançais
Calgary Flames v Los Angeles Kings
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Calgary Flames (Local)
Prévision 39.27%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.735%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.42%39.41%39.05%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5045.45%41.66%41.67%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Los Angeles Kings (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.73%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.994%
Kelly -2.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%60.59%60.95%61.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.591.591.6268.97%63.06%62.89%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.84%E -0.735%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.84%E -0.735%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.23%E -0.896%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.23%E -0.896%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Everygame | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.02%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.02%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 00:23 |
| GTbets | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| BetUS | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 23:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Bally Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 00:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 00:45 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 00:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.16%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| ReBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -7.33%E -3.11%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 00:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.90%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -8.90%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 22:34 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 00:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.62%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -11.93%E -8.23%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| ProphetX | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Novig | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Polymarket | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 00:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 00:09 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Kalshi | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.15% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.52% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Coolbet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.71% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.44% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.32% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 00:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81% | 9.6% | 2026-04-16 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.48% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 00:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65% | 12.7% | 2026-04-17 00:04 |