A Escola das Odds

Buffalo Sabres v Washington Capitals

Início: 2026-03-12 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Previsão 65.19%1.53odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -4.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.73%65.24%65.12%66.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.351.461.471.5074.07%68.27%68.03%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Capitals (Visitante)

Previsão 34.81%2.87odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -0.902%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.96%34.76%34.88%36.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.522.742.752.8039.68%36.51%36.36%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-12 23:05
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 23:05
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Everygame1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 23:04
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:05
Paddy Power1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:03
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:05
GTbets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:05
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:05
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:05
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 22:59
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:05
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.31%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.75%E -2.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.22%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 23:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.57%E -1.29%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.70%E -2.50%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.70%E -2.50%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:05
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -4.96%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:04
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:05
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:57
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:03
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 23:03
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.00%E -8.89%K -34.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -12.27%E -4.87%K -8.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-12 22:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-03-12 23:05
BetOpenly1.56I 64.10%NM 63.97%2.77I 36.10%NM 36.03%0.2%2026-03-12 22:59
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-12 23:05
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 65.21%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.79%1.6%2026-03-12 23:05
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-12 23:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%4.5%2026-03-12 23:05
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76%4.7%2026-03-12 22:59
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%4.8%2026-03-12 22:59
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%5.3%2026-03-12 23:04
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%6.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%6.9%2026-03-12 22:59
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%7.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%7.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%8.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%8.8%2026-03-12 22:59
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%8.8%2026-03-12 23:01
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%9.5%2026-03-12 23:04
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%10.9%2026-03-12 23:02
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54%13.2%2026-03-12 23:05