La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Buffalo Sabres v Washington Capitals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Predicción 65.19%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -4.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.24%65.12%66.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.461.471.5074.07%68.27%68.03%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Washington Capitals (Visitante)
Predicción 34.81%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.96%34.76%34.88%36.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.522.742.752.8039.68%36.51%36.36%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.31%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.75%E -2.92%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.22%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.57%E -1.29%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.70%E -2.50%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.70%E -2.50%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -4.96%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 22:57 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.00%E -8.89%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -12.27%E -4.87%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.97% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 36.03% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.21% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.79% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.67% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48% | 10.9% | 2026-03-12 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54% | 13.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |