L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Buffalo Sabres v Washington Capitals
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prévision 65.19%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -4.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.73%65.24%65.12%66.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.461.471.5074.07%68.27%68.03%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Washington Capitals (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.81%2.87cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.902%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.96%34.76%34.88%36.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.522.742.752.8039.68%36.51%36.36%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -2.87%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.87%E -1.93%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.31%E -1.95%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.75%E -2.92%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.22%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -3.57%E -1.29%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.70%E -2.50%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.17%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.70%E -2.50%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -4.96%E -1.82%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 22:57 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.53%E -0.902%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.00%E -8.89%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -12.27%E -4.87%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 0.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.97% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 36.03% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.21% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.79% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.67% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.07% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.76% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.67% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24% | 9.5% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48% | 10.9% | 2026-03-12 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.86% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.54% | 13.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |