Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Buffalo Sabres v Toronto Maple Leafs
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Buffalo Sabres (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 67.59%1.48kurs godziwy
EV -1.99%
Przewaga -1.37%
Kelly -4.43%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.43%67.76%67.44%70.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.98%70.67%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Toronto Maple Leafs (Goście)
Prognoza 32.41%3.09kurs godziwy
EV +3.39%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +1.55%
Wzrost +0.052%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.19
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.74%32.24%32.56%33.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.852.962.953.1935.09%33.81%33.90%31.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
19 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (34 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -8.75%E -6.48%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV +3.39%E +1.06%K +1.55%G +0.052% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -8.75%E -6.48%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV +3.39%E +1.06%K +1.55%G +0.052% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:03 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.469%E +0.151%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.469%E +0.151%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.70%E -3.33%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.15%E -0.378%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.35%E -2.34%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -1.48%E -0.486%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-14 23:06 |
| Paddy Power | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.70%E -3.33%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.77%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.77%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -3.10%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 23:03 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.72%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.35%E -2.34%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Fliff | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:08 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -1.99%E -1.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -1.99%E -1.37%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:08 |
| BetUS | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.67%E -1.85%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 23:06 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.35%E -2.34%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.35%E -2.34%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:07 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:11 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.67%E -1.85%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.67%E -1.85%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 23:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.72%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Polymarket | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.67% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 72.63% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 27.37% | 36.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 72.63% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 27.37% | 36.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (19)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.19% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.47% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.19% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.47% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.58% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.39% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 23:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 23:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 23:13 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37% | 16.9% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |