La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Sabres v Toronto Maple Leafs

Inizio: 2026-03-14 23:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Casa)

Previsione 67.59%1.48quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -4.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.43%67.76%67.44%70.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.98%70.67%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toronto Maple Leafs (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.41%3.09quota equa
EV +3.39%
Vantaggio +1.06%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.74%32.24%32.56%33.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.852.962.953.1935.09%33.81%33.90%31.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

19 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -8.75%E -6.48%K -25.01%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV +3.39%E +1.06%K +1.55%G +0.052%5.4%2026-03-14 23:04
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -8.75%E -6.48%K -25.01%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV +3.39%E +1.06%K +1.55%G +0.052%5.4%2026-03-14 23:03
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.469%E +0.151%K +0.223%G +0.001%5.8%2026-03-14 23:05
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.08%E -5.94%K -22.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +0.469%E +0.151%K +0.223%G +0.001%5.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.70%E -3.33%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.15%E -0.378%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 23:14
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.01%EV -3.35%E -2.34%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.99%EV -1.48%E -0.486%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-14 23:06
Paddy Power1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.77%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 23:15
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.70%E -3.33%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.77%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.77%E -0.924%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 23:14
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -3.10%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 23:03
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:14
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 23:15
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.72%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -4.07%E -1.37%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:15
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.35%E -2.34%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 23:14
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:08
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 23:15
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -1.99%E -1.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:08
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -1.99%E -1.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:08
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.67%E -1.85%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 23:06
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.35%E -2.34%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 23:15
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.35%E -2.34%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 23:07
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 23:14
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:11
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:15
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.37%E -3.84%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.01%E -2.07%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:15
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.67%E -1.85%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.67%E -1.85%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 23:14
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.02%E -2.83%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.72%E -4.87%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.63%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 23:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-14 23:14
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-03-14 23:14
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%3.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.67%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%3.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%8.7%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 72.63%2.68I 37.31%NM 27.37%36.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 72.63%2.68I 37.31%NM 27.37%36.3%2026-03-14 23:15

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (19)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.47%2.9%2026-03-14 23:15
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.47%2.9%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.85%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.58%3.5%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%5.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.35%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%5.0%2026-03-14 23:15
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%6.1%2026-03-14 23:15
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.39%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%6.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%7.0%2026-03-14 23:15
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%7.3%2026-03-14 23:15
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%7.6%2026-03-14 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%8.4%2026-03-14 23:14
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%8.7%2026-03-14 23:01
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%9.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%9.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%9.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%10.2%2026-03-14 23:05
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%10.4%2026-03-14 23:13
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%11.2%2026-03-14 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%16.9%2026-03-14 23:15