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Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 54.39%1.84fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.51%54.26%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.751.761.8261.73%57.08%56.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Montréal Canadiens (Visit)
Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.885%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%45.49%45.74%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.092.102.1752.08%47.75%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 54.39%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 45.61%. For Buffalo Sabres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.00%E -0.551%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 21:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 06:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.04%E -0.477%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.88%E -7.33%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -12.44%E -6.48%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 21:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.69% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.75% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.56% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.50% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.79% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.65% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 23:02 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.93% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 19:49 |