L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 23:10 UTC

Score final : Buffalo Sabres 1–5 Montréal Canadiens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 54.39%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.51%54.26%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.751.761.8261.73%57.08%56.82%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.61%2.19cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.477%
Kelly -0.885%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%45.49%45.74%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.092.102.1752.08%47.75%47.62%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.00%E -0.551%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:14
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 21:54
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 22:59
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 23:04
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 22:44
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:39
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:54
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:54
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:55
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 21:24
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 19:55
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:39
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:39
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 22:39
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 06:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:39
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:39
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:50
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.04%E -0.477%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 23:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 23:04
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 22:49
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.88%E -7.33%K -19.16%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -12.44%E -6.48%K -13.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-08 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-08 23:04
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-08 23:04
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-05-08 22:54
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-07 21:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-08 23:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-05-08 23:04

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-08 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-08 19:55
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-08 20:04
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-08 19:55
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.69%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.75%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.56%4.6%2026-05-08 22:44
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-05-08 22:39
Coolbet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.79%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.65%4.9%2026-05-08 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%5.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 19:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 19:55
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 19:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%6.2%2026-05-08 23:04
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-05-08 19:54
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-05-08 21:54
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-05-08 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%7.0%2026-05-08 23:02
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-05-08 19:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-05-08 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%8.2%2026-05-08 23:04
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.93%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%12.5%2026-05-08 19:49