La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Sabres v Montréal Canadiens

Inizio: 2026-05-08 23:10 UTC

Finale: Buffalo Sabres 1–5 Montréal Canadiens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Casa)

Previsione 54.39%1.84quota equa
EV -1.00%
Vantaggio -0.551%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.51%54.26%55.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.751.761.8261.73%57.08%56.82%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Montréal Canadiens (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.61%2.19quota equa
EV -1.04%
Vantaggio -0.477%
Kelly -0.885%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.16%45.49%45.74%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.092.102.1752.08%47.75%47.62%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.00%E -0.551%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:14
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.39%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 21:54
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.63%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-08 22:59
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.18%E -1.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.40%E -1.12%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-08 23:04
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.77%E -1.79%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 22:44
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:39
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:39
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:54
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 21:54
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:55
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 19:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 22:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.32%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 21:24
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 19:55
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.27%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:39
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:39
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 22:39
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 06:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:39
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 22:39
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:50
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.44%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.04%E -0.477%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 23:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 23:04
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.95%E -0.906%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.51%E -3.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 22:49
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -11.88%E -7.33%K -19.16%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -12.44%E -6.48%K -13.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 22:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-08 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-08 23:04
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-08 23:04
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.89%0.8%2026-05-08 22:54
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-07 21:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-08 23:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-05-08 23:04

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-08 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-08 19:55
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-08 20:04
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-08 19:55
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.69%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.75%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.56%4.6%2026-05-08 22:44
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.50%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-05-08 22:39
Coolbet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.79%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.65%4.9%2026-05-08 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%5.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 19:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 19:55
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 19:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-05-08 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%6.2%2026-05-08 23:04
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-05-08 19:54
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-05-08 21:54
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-05-08 22:49
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%7.0%2026-05-08 23:02
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-05-08 19:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-05-08 22:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%8.2%2026-05-08 23:04
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.93%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%12.5%2026-05-08 19:49