The School of Odds
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Buffalo Sabres v Detroit Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.93%56.02%58.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.711.7563.69%58.62%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV +0.376%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.294%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.98%44.07%43.98%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.172.2850.00%46.16%45.98%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 55.98%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 44.02%. For Detroit Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.376%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.08%E -4.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-27 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.08%E -4.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-27 21:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.64%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-27 21:25
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-27 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-27 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:05
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:20
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:25
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.52%E -3.90%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 22:59
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 22:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 21:24
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:15
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:30
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.96%E -3.55%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:20
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.96%E -3.55%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:15
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.79%E -2.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:05
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 23:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.12%E -7.72%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-27 22:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-27 23:05
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-27 23:00
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-27 23:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-27 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-27 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-27 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-27 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%4.3%2026-03-27 23:05
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.5%2026-03-27 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.21%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%4.5%2026-03-27 22:50
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.92%4.9%2026-03-27 22:55
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-27 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-27 21:25
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-27 21:25
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-27 21:25
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%6.4%2026-03-27 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-27 22:30
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-03-27 21:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.98%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%8.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-27 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-27 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-27 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.46%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%9.6%2026-03-27 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%9.9%2026-03-27 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%10.6%2026-03-27 23:03