默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Buffalo Sabres v Detroit Red Wings

开赛时间： 2026-03-27 23:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Buffalo Sabres (主队)

预测 55.98%1.79公平赔率

EV -2.04%

优势 -1.17%

Kelly -2.72%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布

53.95%55.93%56.02%58.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.711.711.7563.69%58.62%58.48%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Red Wings (客队)

预测 44.02%2.27公平赔率

EV +0.376%

优势 +0.165%

Kelly +0.294%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布

41.98%44.07%43.98%46.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.002.172.172.2850.00%46.16%45.98%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Buffalo Sabres (主队)：55.98%；Detroit Red Wings (客队)：44.02%。对于“Detroit Red Wings (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.27。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.28，对应+0.376%的正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
betPARX🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.08%E -4.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%	4.1%	2026-03-27 21:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.08%E -4.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%	4.1%	2026-03-27 21:25
BetRivers🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.64%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%	4.5%	2026-03-27 21:25
Pinnacle🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-03-27 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-03-27 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-03-27 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-27 23:05
GTbets🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-27 21:20
Bovada🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-27 22:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-27 21:25
BetUS🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-27 22:00
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 21:20
Bet Right🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 22:25
Coral🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 21:20
Fliff🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.52%E -3.90%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 22:59
ReBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-27 22:59
Caesars🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-27 21:24
BetMGM🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-27 21:15
BetAnything🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-27 22:30
Everygame🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-27 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 22:30
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-27 21:20
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-27 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.96%E -3.55%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-27 21:20
Neds🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.96%E -3.55%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-27 21:15
FanDuel🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.79%E -2.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-27 22:20
SportsBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-27 22:20
Betsson🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 23:00
NordicBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 23:00
PlayUp🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-27 23:00
William Hill🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-27 23:05
TAB🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-27 22:55
Bet Victor🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-27 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-27 23:04
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.12%E -7.72%K -21.26%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-03-27 22:54

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%	2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%	0.1%	2026-03-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	0.6%	2026-03-27 23:05
Polymarket◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-03-27 23:00
ProphetX◎	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%	1.2%	2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%	1.5%	2026-03-27 23:05
Smarkets◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%	1.5%	2026-03-27 23:05
Matchbook◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%	1.5%	2026-03-27 23:05
Novig◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%	1.5%	2026-03-27 23:05
Kalshi◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%	2.2%	2026-03-27 23:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%	3.3%	2026-03-27 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%	3.3%	2026-03-27 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%	3.3%	2026-03-27 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%	3.3%	2026-03-27 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.19%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.51%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%	4.3%	2026-03-27 23:05
Coolbet🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%	4.5%	2026-03-27 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.28%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.21%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%	4.5%	2026-03-27 22:50
1xBet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.92%	4.9%	2026-03-27 22:55
Unibet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%	5.1%	2026-03-27 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%	5.1%	2026-03-27 21:25
Casumo🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%	5.1%	2026-03-27 21:25
Grosvenor🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%	5.1%	2026-03-27 21:25
TABtouch🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%	6.4%	2026-03-27 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%	6.5%	2026-03-27 22:30
LeoVegas🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%	7.7%	2026-03-27 21:25
Betway🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.98%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%	8.2%	2026-03-27 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%	9.0%	2026-03-27 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%	9.0%	2026-03-27 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%	9.0%	2026-03-27 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.46%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%	9.6%	2026-03-27 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%	9.9%	2026-03-27 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%	10.6%	2026-03-27 23:03