L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v Detroit Red Wings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 55.98%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%55.93%56.02%58.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.711.7563.69%58.62%58.48%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Red Wings (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.02%2.27cote équitable
EV +0.376%
Avantage +0.165%
Kelly +0.294%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.98%44.07%43.98%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.172.2850.00%46.16%45.98%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.08%E -4.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-27 21:25
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -7.08%E -4.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-27 21:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.64%E -4.63%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.376%E +0.165%K +0.294%G +0.001%4.5%2026-03-27 21:25
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-27 22:45
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-27 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 23:05
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:20
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:00
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 22:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.52%E -3.90%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 22:59
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 22:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 21:24
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:15
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 22:30
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 21:30
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.40%E -3.20%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 22:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.28%E -2.50%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.96%E -3.55%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:20
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.96%E -3.55%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 21:15
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.79%E -2.70%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 22:20
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 22:20
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:00
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.72%E -2.16%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.16%E -1.83%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:05
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.84%E -2.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 22:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.04%E -1.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.60%E -1.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 23:04
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.12%E -7.72%K -21.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-27 22:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-03-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-27 23:05
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-27 23:00
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-27 23:05
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-27 23:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-27 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-27 21:25
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-27 21:25
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%3.3%2026-03-27 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%4.3%2026-03-27 23:05
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.5%2026-03-27 22:25
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.21%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.51%4.5%2026-03-27 22:50
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.92%4.9%2026-03-27 22:55
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-27 21:25
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-27 21:25
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-27 21:25
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.1%2026-03-27 21:25
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%6.4%2026-03-27 21:25
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-27 22:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%7.7%2026-03-27 21:25
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.98%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%8.2%2026-03-27 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-27 22:50
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-27 22:50
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-27 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.46%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%9.6%2026-03-27 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%9.9%2026-03-27 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%10.6%2026-03-27 23:03