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Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 60.08%1.66fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.895%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.09%60.15%61.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.591.591.6468.97%62.89%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Bruins (Visit)
Prediction 39.92%2.51fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -0.952%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.86%39.91%39.85%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.88%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 60.08%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 39.92%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.47, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-19 23:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 23:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 23:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 23:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -1.40%E -0.567%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -1.40%E -0.567%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.87%E -4.44%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.88%E -8.88%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.18%E -5.54%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.34% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.86% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |