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Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Predicción 60.08%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.895%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%60.09%60.15%61.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.591.591.6468.97%62.89%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Boston Bruins (Visitante)
Predicción 39.92%2.51momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.567%
Kelly -0.952%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.86%39.91%39.85%41.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.88%41.67%40.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 60.08%; Boston Bruins (Visitante): 39.92%. Para Boston Bruins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.47, con un valor esperado de -1.40%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-19 23:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 23:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 23:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 23:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -1.40%E -0.567%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -1.40%E -0.567%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.87%E -4.44%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.88%E -8.88%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.18%E -5.54%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.34% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.86% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |