L’École des cotesFrançais
Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prévision 60.08%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.895%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.97%60.09%60.15%61.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.591.591.6468.97%62.89%62.89%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Boston Bruins (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.92%2.51cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.567%
Kelly -0.952%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.86%39.91%39.85%41.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.88%41.67%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-19 23:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.47%E -0.895%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.67%E -1.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.79%E -2.45%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.27%E -2.03%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.87%E -2.42%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-19 23:38 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 23:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 23:28 |
| Betsson | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.47%E -2.81%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.07%E -3.21%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -1.40%E -0.567%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -1.40%E -0.567%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.80%E -0.731%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.19%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.67%E -3.61%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.19%E -2.63%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.20%E -0.897%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.27%E -4.02%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.87%E -4.44%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.88%E -8.88%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.18%E -5.54%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.34% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 4.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.86% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.64% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.24% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.17% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.37% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.37% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30% | 11.8% | 2026-04-19 23:39 |