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Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Buffalo Sabres (Local)
Prediction 59.60%1.68fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.29%59.58%59.71%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.601.611.6667.57%62.32%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Bruins (Visit)
Prediction 40.40%2.48fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -0.702%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%40.42%40.29%41.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.362.352.4546.08%42.44%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Buffalo Sabres (Local): 59.60%; Boston Bruins (Visit): 40.40%. For Boston Bruins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -1.07%E -0.642%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.83%E -0.751%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -1.42%E -0.583%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-21 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 23:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 20:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -7.48%E -3.27%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -7.48%E -3.27%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 20:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 23:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 16:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.02%E -0.415%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 12:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 12:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.83%E -0.751%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 21:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 21:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.03%E -4.50%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.02%E -0.415%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 23:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -11.79%E -7.97%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -12.33%E -5.68%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-21 23:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71% | -0.1% | 2026-04-21 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 23:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-04-21 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.3% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.32% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.15% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.85% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 15:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 23:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 23:39 |