La scuola delle quote

Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins

Inizio: 2026-04-21 23:43 UTC

Finale: Buffalo Sabres 2–4 Boston Bruins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Casa)

Previsione 59.60%1.68quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.642%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.29%59.58%59.71%61.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.601.611.6667.57%62.32%62.11%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Bruins (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.40%2.48quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.415%
Kelly -0.702%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.90%40.42%40.29%41.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.362.352.4546.08%42.44%42.55%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -1.07%E -0.642%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:30
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 20:50
theScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.83%E -0.751%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 23:35
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 22:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:40
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -1.42%E -0.583%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-21 23:30
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 23:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 16:20
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 20:49
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -7.48%E -3.27%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -7.48%E -3.27%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 21:30
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 20:50
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 23:18
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 21:15
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 16:20
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.02%E -0.415%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:40
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 13:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 13:10
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 13:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:39
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:49
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.83%E -0.751%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 21:29
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 21:29
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 23:40
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.03%E -4.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.02%E -0.415%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:15
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 23:20
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -11.79%E -7.97%K -24.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -12.33%E -5.68%K -10.54%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 23:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%-0.1%2026-04-21 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-21 23:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-21 23:40
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-21 23:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-21 23:35
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-04-21 23:40
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-04-21 23:40

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 48.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 48.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-04-21 23:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-04-21 21:50
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-04-21 21:45
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-04-21 19:35
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.32%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-04-21 21:05
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.15%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.6%2026-04-21 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.3%2026-04-21 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%5.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-04-21 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-04-21 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-21 15:14
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%6.8%2026-04-21 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%7.1%2026-04-21 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%7.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-04-21 23:40
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-04-21 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%7.6%2026-04-21 23:35
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-04-21 23:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%8.9%2026-04-21 23:39