L’École des cotes

Buffalo Sabres v Boston Bruins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 23:43 UTC

Score final : Buffalo Sabres 2–4 Boston Bruins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Buffalo Sabres (Local)

Prévision 59.60%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.642%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.29%59.58%59.71%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.611.6667.57%62.32%62.11%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Bruins (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.40%2.48cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.415%
Kelly -0.702%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%40.42%40.29%41.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.362.352.4546.08%42.44%42.55%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -1.07%E -0.642%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:30
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.66%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 20:50
theScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.83%E -0.751%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 23:35
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 22:30
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 22:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:40
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -1.42%E -0.583%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-21 23:30
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 23:19
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 16:20
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 20:49
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 14:20
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -7.48%E -3.27%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -7.48%E -3.27%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 21:30
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 20:50
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 23:18
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 21:15
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 16:20
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.27%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.02%E -0.415%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:40
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 13:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 13:10
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 13:05
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:39
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 12:49
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.29%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.83%E -0.751%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 21:29
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 21:29
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.04%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.06%E -2.15%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 23:40
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.03%E -4.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.02%E -0.415%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:15
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.08%E -3.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 23:20
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -11.79%E -7.97%K -24.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -12.33%E -5.68%K -10.54%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-21 23:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.29%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.71%-0.1%2026-04-21 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-21 23:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-04-21 23:40
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-21 23:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-21 23:35
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-04-21 23:40
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-04-21 23:40

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 48.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 48.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.3%2026-04-21 23:40
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-04-21 21:50
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.07%3.0%2026-04-21 21:45
Coolbet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.06%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-04-21 19:35
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.32%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-04-21 21:05
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.15%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.6%2026-04-21 23:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.3%2026-04-21 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%5.5%2026-04-21 23:40
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-04-21 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.35%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-04-21 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%6.8%2026-04-21 15:14
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%6.8%2026-04-21 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%7.1%2026-04-21 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%7.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-04-21 23:40
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-04-21 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%7.6%2026-04-21 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%7.6%2026-04-21 23:35
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%8.4%2026-04-21 23:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%8.9%2026-04-21 23:39