The School of Odds
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Boston Bruins v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prediction 58.97%1.70fair odd
EV -0.924%
Edge -0.550%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.68%59.04%58.97%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.621.621.6867.57%61.64%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 41.03%2.44fair odd
EV +0.514%
Edge +0.210%
Kelly +0.354%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.96%41.03%42.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.322.302.4546.08%43.02%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Bruins (Local): 58.97%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 41.03%. For San Jose Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.514%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.514%E +0.210%K +0.354%G +0.002%4.5%2026-03-12 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.514%E +0.210%K +0.354%G +0.002%4.5%2026-03-12 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.307%E -0.126%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 22:56
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:05
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.36%E -0.991%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.77%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-12 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 23:01
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:05
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 23:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 23:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.924%E -0.550%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.924%E -0.550%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:05
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 23:05
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.72%E -8.59%K -26.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.97%E -5.06%K -9.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 22:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-03-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-12 23:05
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-12 23:05
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-03-12 23:05
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-03-12 23:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%3.1%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%4.0%2026-03-12 23:05
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%4.5%2026-03-12 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.82%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.96%4.7%2026-03-12 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-03-12 23:04
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%5.3%2026-03-12 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%6.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-03-12 22:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%6.8%2026-03-12 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%7.7%2026-03-12 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%8.8%2026-03-12 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%9.0%2026-03-12 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%9.0%2026-03-12 23:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%10.4%2026-03-12 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%11.0%2026-03-12 23:02
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%14.0%2026-03-12 23:05