L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.68
avec la cote maximale 2.45
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.514%E +0.210%K +0.354%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.514%E +0.210%K +0.354%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.307%E -0.126%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 22:56 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.36%E -0.991%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.77%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.924%E -0.550%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.924%E -0.550%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.72%E -8.59%K -26.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.97%E -5.06%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.82% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.96% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.88% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07% | 10.4% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53% | 11.0% | 2026-03-12 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41% | 14.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |