默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Bruins v San Jose Sharks

开赛时间： 2026-03-12 23:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Bruins (主队)

预测 58.97%1.70公平赔率

EV -0.924%

优势 -0.550%

Kelly -1.36%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布

57.68%59.04%58.97%60.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.481.621.621.6867.57%61.64%61.73%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Jose Sharks (客队)

预测 41.03%2.44公平赔率

EV +0.514%

优势 +0.210%

Kelly +0.354%

增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布

39.05%40.96%41.03%42.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.172.322.302.4546.08%43.02%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Boston Bruins (主队)：58.97%；San Jose Sharks (客队)：41.03%。对于“San Jose Sharks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.45，对应+0.514%的正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
betPARX🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.514%E +0.210%K +0.354%G +0.002%	4.5%	2026-03-12 23:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.514%E +0.210%K +0.354%G +0.002%	4.5%	2026-03-12 23:05
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.41%E -4.72%K -13.00%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.307%E -0.126%K -0.215%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-12 22:56
Caesars🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-12 23:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.05%E -3.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.54%E -0.641%K -1.10%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-12 23:05
BetUS🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.36%E -0.991%K -1.71%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-12 23:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.77%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-03-12 23:05
DraftKings🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
ReBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.18%E -1.35%K -2.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-12 22:59
BetAnything🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-12 23:05
Everygame🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-12 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-12 23:05
GTbets🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-12 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.59%E -1.53%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-12 23:05
Bet Right🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.00%E -1.71%K -2.98%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
Bovada🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.41%E -1.89%K -3.32%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-12 23:01
Paddy Power🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-12 23:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
Coral🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.69%E -1.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
FanDuel🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-12 23:05
PlayUp🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-12 23:05
William Hill🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-12 23:05
Fanatics🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-12 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-12 23:00
Bet Victor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.64%E -3.53%K -9.40%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-12 23:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.23%E -3.92%K -10.56%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.64%E -2.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-12 23:03
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.924%E -0.550%K -1.36%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-12 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.924%E -0.550%K -1.36%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-12 23:05
SportsBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.87%E -2.38%K -6.15%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-12 23:05
Betsson🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-12 23:05
NordicBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.05%E -2.64%K -4.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-12 23:05
Neds🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-12 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.28%E -2.00%K -5.13%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-12 23:05
TAB🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.46%E -2.75%K -7.20%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.69%E -3.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-12 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.72%E -8.59%K -26.50%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -10.97%E -5.06%K -9.38%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-03-12 22:58

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%	0.2%	2026-03-12 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%	0.8%	2026-03-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%	0.8%	2026-03-12 23:05
Matchbook◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%	0.8%	2026-03-12 23:05
Polymarket◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
Kalshi◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-03-12 23:05
ProphetX◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.2%	2026-03-12 23:05
Novig◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%	1.5%	2026-03-12 23:05
Smarkets◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%	1.5%	2026-03-12 23:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%	3.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%	3.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%	3.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 49.98%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.94%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.08%	3.1%	2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.08%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%	4.0%	2026-03-12 23:05
1xBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%	3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%	4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%	4.5%	2026-03-12 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.82%	3.06I 32.68%NM 31.22%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.96%	4.7%	2026-03-12 22:59
Coolbet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%	4.7%	2026-03-12 23:04
Unibet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%	5.3%	2026-03-12 23:05
Casumo🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%	5.3%	2026-03-12 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%	5.3%	2026-03-12 23:05
Grosvenor🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.21%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%	5.3%	2026-03-12 23:05
TABtouch🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%	6.7%	2026-03-12 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%	6.8%	2026-03-12 22:59
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%	6.8%	2026-03-12 23:05
LeoVegas🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%	7.7%	2026-03-12 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 47.88%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%	8.8%	2026-03-12 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%	9.0%	2026-03-12 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%	9.0%	2026-03-12 23:01
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%	10.4%	2026-03-12 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%	11.0%	2026-03-12 23:02
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 47.69%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%	14.0%	2026-03-12 23:05