Language:English
Boston Bruins v Pittsburgh Penguins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Bruins (Local)
Prediction 52.52%1.90fair odd
EV +0.313%
Edge +0.164%
Kelly +0.344%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.67%52.41%55.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.831.9159.52%55.21%54.79%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)
Prediction 47.48%2.11fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.59%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%47.33%47.59%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.022.002.1754.05%49.55%50.00%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Bruins (Local): 52.52%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit): 47.48%. For Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -9.67%E -5.62%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +3.03%E +1.40%K +2.59%G +0.079% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -5.99%E -3.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +2.08%E +0.968%K +1.81%G +0.038% | 2.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.292%E -0.139%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.62%E -4.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.292%E -0.139%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.24%E -0.597%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.56%E -4.30%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -1.72%E -0.829%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 14:11 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.14%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 16:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 16:47 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 17:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 15:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 00:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 05:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.41%E -2.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 17:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.99%E -3.03%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.46%E -3.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.313%E +0.164%K +0.344%G +0.001% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.31%E -4.88%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -11.77%E -7.00%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.16%E -6.57%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-03 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.79% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.49% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.86% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.39% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |