L’École des cotes

Boston Bruins v Pittsburgh Penguins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Boston Bruins (Local)

Prévision 52.52%1.90cote équitable
EV +0.313%
Avantage +0.164%
Kelly +0.344%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.67%52.41%55.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.811.831.9159.52%55.21%54.79%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.48%2.11cote équitable
EV +3.03%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +2.59%
Croissance +0.079%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.22%47.33%47.59%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.022.002.1754.05%49.55%50.00%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -9.67%E -5.62%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +3.03%E +1.40%K +2.59%G +0.079%4.2%2026-03-04 00:04
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -5.99%E -3.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +2.08%E +0.968%K +1.81%G +0.038%2.4%2026-03-04 00:05
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.292%E -0.139%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:04
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.62%E -4.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.292%E -0.139%K -0.266%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.24%E -0.597%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:05
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.56%E -4.30%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -1.72%E -0.829%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:04
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 14:10
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 14:11
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 19:35
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:00
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:05
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.14%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 04:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 04:35
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 20:44
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 16:49
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 16:47
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 17:09
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 15:31
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 00:39
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 05:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.41%E -2.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:00
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:04
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:05
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 17:55
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 10:50
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.99%E -3.03%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 04:35
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.46%E -3.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:54
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 04:35
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 04:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.313%E +0.164%K +0.344%G +0.001%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.31%E -4.88%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -11.77%E -7.00%K -17.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.16%E -6.57%K -14.31%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-03 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-03-04 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-03-04 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-03-04 00:05
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-03-04 00:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-04 00:00
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-03-04 00:00
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-03 23:59
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%6.3%2026-03-03 23:30

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-03 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-03 19:35
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-03 19:35
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64%2.7%2026-03-03 21:00
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%4.0%2026-03-04 00:00
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%4.4%2026-03-03 19:44
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-03-03 23:55
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.8%2026-03-03 23:55
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-03 22:10
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-03 22:10
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-03 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-03-03 22:10
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-03-03 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-03-03 18:35
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-03 19:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%7.8%2026-03-04 00:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%8.8%2026-03-04 00:05
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%9.4%2026-03-03 23:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.49%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%9.8%2026-03-03 23:55
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.86%10.2%2026-03-04 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.39%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%10.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%14.4%2026-03-04 00:05