La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -9.67%E -5.62%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV +3.03%E +1.40%K +2.59%G +0.079% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -5.99%E -3.35%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +2.08%E +0.968%K +1.81%G +0.038% | 2.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.292%E -0.139%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.62%E -4.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.292%E -0.139%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.24%E -0.597%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.56%E -4.30%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -1.72%E -0.829%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 14:11 |
| Bally Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -2.19%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.67%E -1.30%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.14%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 16:49 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 16:47 |
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 17:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 15:31 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 00:39 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 05:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.41%E -2.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-02 17:55 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.04%E -2.52%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.99%E -3.03%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.46%E -3.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.84%E -1.53%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.89%E -2.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.41%E -3.80%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 04:35 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.313%E +0.164%K +0.344%G +0.001% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.31%E -4.88%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -11.77%E -7.00%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -12.16%E -6.57%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-03 11:20 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetOpenly | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.96% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.64% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.92% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.71% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.79% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.80% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.49% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.33% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.81% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.86% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.39% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |