The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Anaheim Ducks v Pittsburgh Penguins

2026-11-09 01:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 52.40%1.91fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.09%52.55%52.33%53.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.811.821.8558.14%55.20%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 47.60%2.10fair odd
EV -0.034%
Edge -0.016%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.15%47.45%47.67%47.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.86%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 52.40%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit): 47.60%. For Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.101. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.100, with an expected value of -0.034%; they do not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.46%E -0.706%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-08 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 09:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 13:20
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 05:15
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 05:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 01:30
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 03:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 13:20
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 12:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.37%E -1.66%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 16:10
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.37%E -1.66%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 17:59
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.84%E -1.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 16:00
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.034%E -0.016%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.034%E -0.016%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 13:00
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 13:00
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 17:36
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 16:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 00:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 05:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 05:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.30%E -4.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 16:43
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.30%E -4.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 16:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.88%E -5.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.59%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.41%-1.0%2026-11-08 08:05
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-11-08 16:39
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-11-08 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-11-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-11-08 13:05
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-11-08 08:05
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-11-08 16:15
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-11-08 15:10
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-11-08 15:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.75%3.1%2026-11-08 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%3.4%2026-11-08 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%3.4%2026-11-08 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%3.4%2026-11-08 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%3.4%2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.12%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%4.4%2026-11-08 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-11-08 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.70%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-11-08 16:10
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-11-08 15:55
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-11-08 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-11-08 10:05
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-11-08 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%9.2%2026-11-08 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%9.5%2026-11-08 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%10.9%2026-11-08 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.70%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%11.0%2026-11-08 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%12.2%2026-11-08 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%13.5%2026-11-08 16:40

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.