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Anaheim Ducks v Pittsburgh Penguins

2026-11-09 01:10 UTC — NHL

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Predicción 52.40%1.91momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.09%52.55%52.33%53.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.811.821.8558.14%55.20%54.95%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante)

Predicción 47.60%2.10momio equitativo
EV -0.034%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.15%47.45%47.67%47.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.86%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 52.40%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante): 47.60%. Para Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.101. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.100, con un valor esperado de -0.034%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

20 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.46%E -0.706%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-08 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 09:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 13:20
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 05:15
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 05:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-07 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 01:30
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 03:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 13:20
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 12:50
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.37%E -1.66%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 16:10
Caesars🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.37%E -1.66%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-07 17:59
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.84%E -1.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 16:00
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.034%E -0.016%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.034%E -0.016%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-08 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 13:00
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 13:00
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 17:36
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 16:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-08 00:35
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-07 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 05:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 05:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.30%E -4.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 16:43
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.30%E -4.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 16:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.88%E -5.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.59%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.41%-1.0%2026-11-08 08:05
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-11-08 16:39
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-11-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-11-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-11-08 13:05
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-11-08 08:05
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-11-08 16:15
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-11-08 15:10
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-11-08 15:15

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (20)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.75%3.1%2026-11-08 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%3.4%2026-11-08 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%3.4%2026-11-08 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%3.4%2026-11-08 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%3.4%2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.12%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%4.4%2026-11-08 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-11-08 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.70%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-11-08 16:10
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%5.1%2026-11-08 15:55
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-11-08 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-11-08 10:05
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%8.3%2026-11-08 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.88%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%9.2%2026-11-08 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%9.5%2026-11-08 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%10.9%2026-11-08 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.70%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%11.0%2026-11-08 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%12.2%2026-11-08 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%13.5%2026-11-08 16:40

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