默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Anaheim Ducks v Pittsburgh Penguins

2026-11-09 01:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

52%

48%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Anaheim Ducks (主队)

预测 52.40%1.91公平赔率

EV -3.07%

优势 -1.66%

Kelly -3.61%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布

52.09%52.55%52.33%53.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.721.811.821.8558.14%55.20%54.95%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)

预测 47.60%2.10公平赔率

EV -0.034%

优势 -0.016%

Kelly -0.031%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布

46.15%47.45%47.67%47.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.86%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Anaheim Ducks (主队)：52.40%；Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)：47.60%。对于“Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.101。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.100，期望值为-0.034%，未产生正期望值。

有 20 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.07%E -1.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.46%E -0.706%K -1.37%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-11-08 16:15
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-07 19:50
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 09:40
FanDuel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:20
GTbets🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-07 19:35
BetMGM🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 05:15
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 05:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-07 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 01:30
BetAnything🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 03:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 13:20
Everygame🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 12:50
ReBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.11%E -2.25%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 15:05
Bet Right🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.37%E -1.66%K -3.27%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 16:10
Caesars🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.37%E -1.66%K -3.27%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-07 17:59
Bovada🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.84%E -1.90%K -3.77%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-08 15:15
PlayUp🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 15:10
SportsBet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.64%E -2.55%K -5.65%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.27%E -2.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 13:20
NordicBet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 16:00
Betsson🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.16%E -2.85%K -6.37%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.034%E -0.016%K -0.031%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-08 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.034%E -0.016%K -0.031%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-08 16:39
BetRivers🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 13:00
betPARX🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 13:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 13:00
BetUS🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-07 17:36
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-07 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-07 16:00
TAB🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:35
William Hill🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.79%E -2.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-07 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-08 05:15
Neds🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.68%E -3.16%K -7.11%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-08 05:15
Bet Victor🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.30%E -4.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-08 16:43
betano_uk🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -8.30%E -4.75%K -11.07%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-11-08 16:44
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -9.88%E -5.74%K -13.72%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-11-08 16:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 52.59%	2.13I 46.95%NM 47.41%	-1.0%	2026-11-08 08:05
BetOpenly◎	1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%	2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%	-0.0%	2026-11-08 16:39
ProphetX◎	1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%	0.6%	2026-11-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-11-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%	1.0%	2026-11-08 13:05
Polymarket◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%	1.1%	2026-11-08 08:05
Novig◎	1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%	1.2%	2026-11-08 16:15
Smarkets◎	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%	1.6%	2026-11-08 15:10
Matchbook◎	1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%	2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%	1.8%	2026-11-08 15:15

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (20)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.61%	4.46I 22.42%NM 21.75%	3.1%	2026-11-08 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%	3.4%	2026-11-08 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%	3.4%	2026-11-08 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%	3.4%	2026-11-08 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.51%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.50%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%	3.4%	2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.12%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.85%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%	4.4%	2026-11-08 16:40
Coolbet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.54%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%	4.7%	2026-11-08 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.70%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.59%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%	4.7%	2026-11-08 16:10
Casumo🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%	5.1%	2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%	5.1%	2026-11-08 15:55
Unibet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.72%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.16%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%	5.1%	2026-11-08 15:55
TABtouch🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%	6.4%	2026-11-08 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.04%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%	6.7%	2026-11-08 10:05
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.95%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%	8.3%	2026-11-08 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 40.88%	2.49I 40.16%NM 36.78%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%	9.2%	2026-11-08 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%	9.5%	2026-11-08 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%	10.9%	2026-11-08 14:00
Grosvenor🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 41.70%	2.48I 40.32%NM 36.32%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%	11.0%	2026-11-08 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.50%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%	12.2%	2026-11-08 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%	2.40I 41.67%NM 36.71%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%	13.5%	2026-11-08 16:40

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