The School of Odds
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Anaheim Ducks v New York Islanders

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 03:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 47.71%2.10fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.84%47.78%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.992.002.0754.64%50.14%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Islanders (Visit)

Prediction 52.29%1.91fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.16%52.22%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.831.8858.82%54.73%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 47.71%; New York Islanders (Visit): 52.29%. For Anaheim Ducks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.24%E -0.599%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-05 02:30
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:40
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 02:46
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 02:35
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 01:15
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.45%E -4.21%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 02:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 02:55
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 02:45
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 02:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:00
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:00
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:20
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:24
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:20
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:45
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 02:45
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 02:35
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 02:34
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:15
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:00
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:00
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 22:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 02:00
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -2.74%E -1.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 20:44
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 02:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.11%E -6.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-05 02:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-04 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-05 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-05 02:20
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-05 02:20
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-03-05 02:40
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-05 02:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%4.4%2026-03-05 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.57%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-05 02:55
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.22%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.80%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.99%4.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-04 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Coolbet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-03-05 01:25
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%6.5%2026-03-05 02:45
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-03-05 02:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%8.7%2026-03-05 02:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.31%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%8.9%2026-03-05 02:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%9.3%2026-03-05 02:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%11.2%2026-03-05 02:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%11.4%2026-03-05 02:40