La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88
21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.24%E -0.599%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 02:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 02:46 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 01:15 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.45%E -4.21%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 02:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:15 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:20 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 02:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 02:34 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -2.74%E -1.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 02:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 02:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.11%E -6.53%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-05 02:24 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 02:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 02:20 |
| BetOpenly | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-05 02:20 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.57% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.22% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.80% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.99% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 02:55 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 02:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.31% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 02:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.32% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06% | 11.2% | 2026-03-05 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.39% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72% | 11.4% | 2026-03-05 02:40 |