L’École des cotes

Anaheim Ducks v New York Islanders

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 03:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prévision 47.71%2.10cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.599%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%47.84%47.78%49.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.992.002.0754.64%50.14%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Islanders (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.29%1.91cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.901%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.67%52.16%52.22%53.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.831.831.8858.82%54.73%54.64%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.24%E -0.599%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-05 02:30
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-05 02:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 02:46
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 02:35
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 01:15
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.20%E -1.07%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.45%E -4.21%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 02:55
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 02:55
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.67%E -1.31%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 02:55
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.63%E -1.80%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 02:45
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 02:25
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:00
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:15
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:00
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:24
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.31%E -2.35%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 02:20
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.83%E -2.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 02:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 02:45
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 02:35
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.35%E -2.96%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 02:34
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:15
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.58%E -2.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:00
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.53%E -2.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.88%E -3.27%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 02:00
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 22:14
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.69%E -0.901%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 22:14
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 02:00
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -2.74%E -1.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 02:38
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.97%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 20:44
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.44%E -3.84%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.22%E -1.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:15
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.26%E -1.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 02:54
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.69%E -6.94%K -15.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.11%E -6.53%K -15.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-05 02:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-04 23:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-05 02:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-05 02:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-05 02:20
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-03-05 02:40
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-03-05 02:20

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.31%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%4.4%2026-03-05 02:40
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.57%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-05 02:55
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.22%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.80%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.99%4.8%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-04 22:14
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-03-05 01:25
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%6.4%2026-03-04 22:15
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%6.5%2026-03-05 02:45
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.59%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%7.6%2026-03-05 02:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%8.7%2026-03-05 02:40
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.31%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%8.9%2026-03-05 02:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%9.3%2026-03-05 02:50
Unibet (FR)2.41I 41.49%NM 37.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%11.2%2026-03-05 02:49
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%11.4%2026-03-05 02:40