Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks v Montréal Canadiens

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prediction 48.37%2.07fair odd
EV +0.117%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.19%48.43%48.30%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.961.952.0756.18%51.04%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montréal Canadiens (Visit)

Prediction 51.63%1.94fair odd
EV -0.862%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -0.937%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%51.57%51.70%52.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.851.9257.80%53.93%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anaheim Ducks (Local): 48.37%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 51.63%. For Anaheim Ducks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.068. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.070, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.117%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +0.117%E +0.057%K +0.109%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-07 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -1.82%E -0.895%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -1.82%E -0.895%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:03
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 01:59
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:05
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:04
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 01:39
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:15
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:04
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 01:59
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 01:39
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.96%E -2.13%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.96%E -2.13%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:40
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:39
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.17%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.722%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 02:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.89%E -0.997%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 02:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.59%E -4.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.862%E -0.449%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.91%E -7.81%K -17.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -10.67%E -6.17%K -14.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-06 20:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 49.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.87%-0.7%2026-03-07 01:59
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-07 02:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-07 02:05
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-07 02:05
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%1.8%2026-03-07 02:05
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-07 02:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-06 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-06 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%3.4%2026-03-07 02:05
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-06 20:50
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00%4.7%2026-03-07 01:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%4.8%2026-03-07 01:43
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-03-06 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-03-06 21:20
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%7.8%2026-03-06 21:10
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%8.4%2026-03-07 02:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%8.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%9.2%2026-03-07 02:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.80%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-03-07 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%11.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75%14.7%2026-03-07 02:05