L’École des cotes

Anaheim Ducks v Montréal Canadiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anaheim Ducks (Local)

Prévision 48.37%2.07cote équitable
EV +0.117%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.19%48.43%48.30%50.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.961.952.0756.18%51.04%51.28%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Montréal Canadiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.63%1.94cote équitable
EV -0.862%
Avantage -0.449%
Kelly -0.937%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.61%51.57%51.70%52.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.851.9257.80%53.93%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +0.117%E +0.057%K +0.109%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-07 02:05
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -1.82%E -0.895%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 02:00
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -1.82%E -0.895%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 02:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:04
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:03
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 01:59
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:05
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:04
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:00
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 02:05
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 02:05
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 01:39
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 02:05
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 21:15
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:04
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 02:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 01:59
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 01:39
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 22:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.96%E -2.13%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.96%E -2.13%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:39
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:39
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:05
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.17%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.722%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 02:05
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.89%E -0.997%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 02:04
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.59%E -4.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.862%E -0.449%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 01:44
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:05
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.91%E -7.81%K -17.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -10.67%E -6.17%K -14.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-06 20:43
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 49.13%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.87%-0.7%2026-03-07 01:59
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-07 02:05
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-03-07 02:05
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-03-07 02:05
Novig2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%1.8%2026-03-07 02:05
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-03-07 02:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-06 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-06 21:15
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03%3.4%2026-03-07 02:05
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-03-06 20:50
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00%4.7%2026-03-07 01:59
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%4.8%2026-03-07 01:43
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-06 21:10
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-03-06 21:15
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-03-06 21:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%7.8%2026-03-06 21:10
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%8.4%2026-03-07 02:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%8.9%2026-03-07 01:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%9.2%2026-03-07 02:04
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.80%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-03-07 01:39
Unibet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81%11.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75%14.7%2026-03-07 02:05