La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Anaheim Ducks v Montréal Canadiens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anaheim Ducks (Local)
Predicción 48.37%2.07momio equitativo
EV +0.117%
Ventaja +0.057%
Kelly +0.109%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.19%48.43%48.30%50.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.961.952.0756.18%51.04%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Montréal Canadiens (Visitante)
Predicción 51.63%1.94momio equitativo
EV -0.862%
Ventaja -0.449%
Kelly -0.937%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.61%51.57%51.70%52.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.851.851.9257.80%53.93%54.05%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +0.117%E +0.057%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -1.82%E -0.895%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68%EV -1.82%E -0.895%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:03 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.27%E -1.63%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.24%E -2.14%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.20%E -2.65%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.93%E -1.56%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.96%E -2.13%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.96%E -2.13%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 01:40 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.17%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.722%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -4.27%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.89%E -0.997%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.59%E -4.54%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.862%E -0.449%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 01:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.56%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.91%E -7.81%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -10.67%E -6.17%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-06 20:43 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.05I 48.78%NM 49.13% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.87% | -0.7% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Novig | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.89% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.12% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.00% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.43% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 01:43 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Betway | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.80% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.81% | 11.0% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75% | 14.7% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |